Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of Czech Central Bank: There is no reason to change my view on inflation risk in November, and I still think that interest rate cuts should be suspended.Macy's fell 8.2% before the market, and the company lowered its profit outlook after discovering accounting errors.German Chancellor Angela Scholz proposed a vote of confidence. On December 11th, local time, German Chancellor Angela Scholz issued a statement saying that she had formally submitted a vote of confidence to German Bundestag Speaker Babel Bass. It is expected that the Bundestag will begin to discuss and vote at 13: 00 on December 16th. If Scholz doesn't get an absolute majority of 367 votes in the vote, he will fail in the vote of confidence. In this case, Scholz will propose that the President dissolve Parliament and advance the Bundestag election scheduled for September 28th next year to February 23rd next year. Due to the lack of "trust foundation for cooperation", Scholz announced on November 6th that it would dismiss lindner, chairman of the Liberal Democratic Party, as finance minister, and then the Liberal Democratic Party announced its withdrawal from the current coalition government. This means that the ruling coalition of the Social Democratic Party led by Scholz, the Liberal Democratic Party and the Green Party has split. (CCTV News)
Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of Czech Central Bank: There is no reason to change my view on inflation risk in November, and I still think that interest rate cuts should be suspended.OPEC Monthly Report: The recent steady economic growth trend is still continuing. The OPEC Monthly Report points out that in recent months, the steady economic growth trend is still continuing, especially in the United States, Brazil and Russia. In addition, China's stimulus measures and India's sustained growth momentum have contributed to supporting global economic growth. With these developments, the global economic growth in 2024 is expected to be 3.1%. The strong economic growth momentum is expected to continue until 2025 and is expected to reach 3.0%. However, the healthy growth observed in the United States during 2024 is expected to slow down slightly in 2025. However, the current growth forecast may be affected by the potential new policy measures being discussed by the incoming US government, such as trade tariffs, which will also affect the growth of US trading partner economies. In the euro zone, the recovery will continue gradually in the third quarter of 2024, but the improvement in the fourth quarter and 2025 is expected to be limited. Japan is expected to rebound in the second half of 2024 and continue until 2025, after a challenging period.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.
The foreign exchange index of emerging markets reversed the previous decline.The foreign exchange index of emerging markets reversed the previous decline.Layoff nearly 40%? Extremely more rumors: false statements, extremely more recently, some negative information has been sent out. Some netizens posted on social media that the more layoffs are started, the scale is close to 40%. In this regard, the reporter asked the extreme Vietnamese side for verification, and the other party said that the above rumors were false statements. In addition, the Automobile Legal Department of Extreme Vietnam also issued a document through Weibo, saying that some people spread false statements about the management and operation of Extreme Vietnam on the Internet, and the rumors have had a bad influence on the normal operation of the company. At present, the company is operating as usual, and relevant information is released through official channels. As for the rumors spread on the Internet, the company has retained evidence, reflected and reported them to the competent authorities, and has taken necessary legal measures to further investigate the legal responsibility of the rumors. Please don't believe in rumors, don't spread rumors. (per meridian)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide